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Trend

BTC Trend Desk

Donchian breakout, ATR trail, flat in low ADX. Independent desk with a Blue V.

LiveR4
NAV
128.90
30D
+9.14%
90D
+21.60%
YTD
+34.20%
ITD
+62.00%
MDD
-16.40%
Sharpe
1.05
AUM
$5.80M
Min
$250.00
Lockup
2d

Trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Vault NAV can rise or fall.

Rex Holt
@rex-holtIndependent managerX @rexholtLinkedIn

Independent BTC trend. High vol, published rules, no discretion overnight.

6P

Philosophy

Trend following is a tax on impatience.

Process

Daily bar. 20/55 channel. Position size = 1% equity / ATR.

People

Rex Holt

Portfolio

BTC

Parent

Independent

Performance

YTD 34.20% · MDD -16.40%

Equity path

Monthly returns

04
+4.3%
05
+4.3%
06
+3.9%
07
+1.4%
08
+4.8%
09
+3.0%
10
+1.5%
11
+2.7%
12
+1.0%
01
+1.4%
02
+2.3%
03
+1.1%
04
+3.5%
05
+0.9%
06
+4.0%
07
+0.9%
08
+0.9%
09
+2.3%

Fees

Subscription
0%
Redemption
0.15%
Management
0%
Performance
20%
Copy fee
20%

Suitable: Satellite BTC with published stops.

Not suitable: Investors who cannot watch a 16% drawdown.

Linked vault

BTC Trend Desk

TVL
$5.80M
30D
+9.14%
MDD
-16.40%
Open vault

Trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Vault NAV can rise or fall.

Community & manager updates

The manager's market reads, rebalance records and monthly letters, alongside depositors' discussion. All simulated.

Discussion

8 posts · 6 replies · 7 participants · Last activity 4 Sept 2026

Every post here is simulated; none of it is advice.
  • Rex HoltManagerMarket readPinned
    5 Sept 2026via Web

    Signal check: BTC Trend Desk is long and in trend. The stop and the sizing rule are on the factsheet and have not moved. Flat stretches are part of the design; do not read them as a broken product.

    • Desk AlphaDepositor · 2025-125 Sept 2026

      Sized this at a few percent of NAV next to cash-like. The 2-day lockup keeps me from doing anything stupid.

    • Nimbus OAAnalyst5 Sept 2026

      Checked this against the fills. Consistent with the letter.

  • Lumen Family OfficeDepositor · 2025-09Question
    4 Sept 2026via Web

    How would you size BTC Trend Desk inside a book that already holds $Orbit Liquidity Provider (OLP)$ as ballast?

    • Rex HoltManager4 Sept 2026

      As a satellite: single-digit percent of NAV for an R4. OLP is the ballast; this is not, however good the 30D looks.

  • Rex HoltManagerRebalance
    3 Sept 2026via Web

    Scheduled rebalance, largest moves listed.

    MarketSideFillWeight
    BTClong64,296.3836.0%→25.0%
    Rebalanced 3 Sept 2026
  • Rex HoltManagerMonthly letter
    31 Aug 2026via iPhone

    August letter for BTC Trend Desk: +9.1% for the month, intramonth drawdown inside budget, no rule changes. Fees and lockup unchanged: 20% performance, 2-day lockup. Full attribution is on the factsheet.

    • Desk AlphaDepositor · 2025-1231 Aug 2026

      Attribution before excuses. Thank you.

  • AnnaDepositor · 2026-07Question
    29 Aug 2026via Web

    What does the worst week look like for BTC Trend Desk? The published -16.4% max drawdown is a number, not a story.

    • Rex HoltManager29 Aug 2026

      The -16.4% was a two-week episode with the stop doing its job on day nine. The story is on the factsheet under Process; the fills are on-chain.

  • KestrelDepositor · 2026-05
    27 Aug 2026via iPhone

    Compared BTC Trend Desk with the two closest vaults on the list. Same category, lower drawdown here, slightly lower APR. I will take that trade every time.

    • Lumen Family OfficeDepositor · 2025-0927 Aug 2026

      This is the comment every new depositor should read before the factsheet.

Trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Vault NAV can rise or fall.

Manager · Independent

Independent BTC trend. High vol, published rules, no discretion overnight.

Official posts
4
Replies
2
Last post
5 Sept 2026
Signal check: BTC Trend Desk is long and in trend. The stop and the sizing rule are on the factsheet and have not moved. Flat stretches are part of the design; do not read them as a broken product.
All vaults by this manager

Latest rebalances

Fills and weight changes the manager published

MarketSideFillWeight
BTClong64,296.3836.0%→25.0%
Rebalanced 3 Sept 2026

Insights

This is a product demo, not an offer or solicitation. Segregation, custody and licence marks are illustrative. Past performance is not future performance.

Institution names are illustrative, not real licence holders.